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What Roulette System to Use?
People are always devising ways to beat a certain casino game. Everyone is looking for a mathematical system to give them an edge at the casino tables. Unfortunately there are no good mathematical systems out there, only bad ones and worse ones.
A roulette system is a strategy by which the amount of your current wager is affected by your previous wager. Raising after a win, raising after a loss or any number of complicated tracking of wins or losses can comprise a roulette system. Regardless of which roulette system you use, there are some things that don’t change – 38 pockets on an American roulette wheel and the casino pays you 35 to 1. This means players pay a tax on their winnings. If the game wasn’t “taxed”, you’d be paid 37 to 1. This is what keeps casinos in business. All systems will lose over the long run.
The House Edge
To calculate the house advantage for a roulette wager you need to subtract the correct payoff from the actual payoff and multiply it by the chance of hitting your number. Multiply that by 100 to get a percentage.
[35/1  37/1] x 1/38 x 100 = 5.263%, a negative player's edge.
Remember the advantage on a wheel with one zero is calculated the same way, except that the calculations are reduced by 1 and chance of hitting your number is changed to 1 in 37.
[35/1  36/1] x 1/37 x 100 = 2.703%, against the player.
Gambler’s Fallacy or Due Theory
In almost any roulette system you wager on a number or group of numbers. The group is often red or odd numbers, second column numbers, 1 through 6 line and others. Often the roulette system will tell you to increase your next bet based on something often referred to as “the maturity of chances” or “the law of large numbers”. People who know better refer to this as the Gambler’s Fallacy. Promoters of these types of systems believe that sooner or later your number or numbers are bound to come up. That is true, but what people often forget is that it could be sooner or very much later. You would need an infinite amount of money to make this work, and still the casino places limits on bets.
These types of systems have been around forever. They have never worked. Don’t believe anyone who tries to sell you a new roulette system (or any betting system). It's probably some recycled version of Martingale or some other system. Often what happens is a person using the system will make a small number of wins that builds a false sense of security. As you play you’ll be wiped out with a large loss. If you are lucky, it will happen right away.
Martingale System
This is the most popular gambling system of all. It’s probably been around as long as there has been gambling. This system requires you to increase your bet after a loss – double or nothing. You keep doing this after each loss until you finally win, then begin the betting progression again. The objective is to win one unit on even money bets.
No matter what you do, one thing is for sure – the less you play the less you lose. Some systems are worse than others. If you really want to try a Martingale system follow these tips:
Wait for a certain group of numbers to not appear from 6 to 8 spins before trying a progression. If there are 4 or less wheels open wait for a string of about 6 losses. If there are more wheels open, a string of 7 losses should be enough.
When you are in this situation, try a progression of 2 or 3 bets on your group. If you lose you can quit or try a new progression. If you lose 3 progressions forget that group and try another one that qualifies.
Avoid the Grand Martingale System
Find out how many units you’d be happy with winning. If you reach your goal, call it quits and cash out. Or, try picking a point at which you will stop and stick to it. Go for a walk and clear your head.
Never bet with your emotions. If you lose a few, don’t worry about it.
If you must play a Martingale type system, stick to these few tips and you’ll have a much better time at the tables.
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